Jason Parker

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Freiburg vs Gladbach

Freiburg comes from really important and impressive victory away from home last Sunday evening as the side was losing 3:0 away to Koln, conceding three goals in first thirty minutes of the game (via Klunter in 8th, Guirassy in the 10th minute from the penalty kick and an own goal in 29th minute), however reacted much better later on.
They reduced the deficit with a goal from Petersen in the 39th minute, generally looking very well overall in the first halftime already, while they completely outplayed the opponent in the second halftime and deserved the victory completely thanks to goals from Haberer in the 65th minute, plus two goals from the penalty kick, both taken by Petersen in 90th and fifth minute of additional time.
Even though the victory came late and thanks to two goals from penalty kicks, it was completely fair as the side now remains undefeated in last three rounds (two victories and a draw). The team now stands at play-out position with fifteen points, same as safely placed Hamburger SV.
Midfielder Mike Frantz (11/0) is injured and probably will not be playing, same as forward Florian Niederlechner (10/2). Injured and surely out remain to be central back Manuel Gulde (no performance so far), but also other central backs, Marc-Oliver Kempf (4/0) and Philipp Lienhart (10/0) and midfielders, Aleksandar Ignjovski (no performance so far), Onur Bulut (1/0) and Amir Abrashi (3/0). Finally, central back Caglar Soyuncu (9/1) is doubtful too.
Gladbach, on the other side, didn't manage to get a victory in front of own fans in a 1:1 draw last Saturday afternoon against Schalke. Overall, the game was fairly balanced and the result fully reflects the things on the field, as the hosts looked bit better and more concrete in the first halftime, but the guests replied in second.
Gladbach took the lead in 24th minute with a goal from Kramer, however as the time progressed, players of Schalke were better and better, taking the equalizer deservedly in the 62nd minute with an own goal - but neither of the sides was willing to risk a lot towards the end of the game.
Gladbach now stands at the fourth position having just two points less than second-placed Leipzig and surely that a victory here is their only target.
Defender Tobias Strobl (no performance so far) and midfielder Laszlo Benes (1/0) will not play due injuries, same as fullback Fabian Johnson (9/1), offensive midfielders Ibrahima Traore (3/0) and Jonas Hoffmann (7/0), right back Tony Jantschke (4/0) and finally midfielder Patrick Herrmann (11/0). Right back Nico Elvedi (15/1) is suspended.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Borussia M.Gladbach's last 7 away games (Bundesliga).
Freiburg is probably full of confidence after their deserved but luck victory away to Koln. However, this match an easily turn out to be too much for them, since Gladbach now really remains in a must-win situation and it's about time for them to react on the road.
The recent tradition isn't speaking in their favor, but individual quality surely lies with the visiting side.
Bet: Gladbach Wins @ 2.21 with Pinnacle

Southampton vs Arsenal

Southampton had all the chances to walk away with something away to Bournemouth last weekend and were slight favorites before the game however only took a point in a 1:1 draw. Hosts took the lead first, in 42nd minute with a goal from Fraser, being obviously better in the first part of the clash.
However, the Saints have responded with more determined performance in the second halftime and deserved that point which came thanks to a goal frmo Austin in 61st minute with neither of the sides being willing to risk towards the end of the game. Southampton still stands in the middle of the table being at 12th position now with seventeen points, four more than relegating placed West Ham.
Home side will miss injured right back Cedric Soares (14/0), while doubtftul remains forward Shane Long (13/0).
Arsenal didn't manage to make a positive result last time out in Premier League previous weekend, as the side got defeated at their own stadium against Manchester United with a 1:3 result. They simply paid the price of entering the match too slowly, conceding two goals in first eleven minutes, via Valencia and Lingard, and it was difficult to get back into the match later on.
Lacazette reduced the deficit in 49th minute, as the Gunners looked simply much better during the whole match, but conceded a goal once again in 63rd minute and failed to respond later on - even though they had great chances. Guests even stood playing with a man less when Pogba was excluded in 74th minute, but it simply wasn't their day. The side now stands at fifth position having just a point less than Champions League placed Liverpool and are surely aiming a victory here.
Center back Per Mertesacker wasn't playing on Thursday and should be back in the team, while other central defender Shkodran Mustafi remains doubtful. Midfielder Santi Cazorla is long term absentee without performing so far.
Arsenal probably did improve their morale on Thursday night when the side crushed BATE Borisov in Europa League with 6:0 victory and in case the side shows something close to what they played in last two matches played within seven days, I have no doubts that they will come up victorious.
Bet: Arsenal Wins @ 2.05 with Unibet

Granada vs Almeria

Granada looked well in previous home match against Huesca that they have won, however, the side comes from a narrow 1:0 defeat away to Rayo Vallecano last weekend in a match where they generally looked weaker and inferior, but still managed to keep the clean sheet for the most of the clash.
Only goal was scored only in 88th minute via Dorado, as the first halftime looked equal, but the home team improved in second and looked way more superior pushing for the goal that came at the very end of the match - but overall was completely deserved. The side still stands inside the play-off zone, despite most recent defeat, with just a point more than seventh placed Oviedo, but also with just three points less than second and direct promotion placed Lugo.
Midfielder Montoro (13/0) is suspended, while injured and sidelined remain defenders Chico Flores (7/0), Saunier (11/1) and midfielders Raul Baena (13/0) and Alberto (14/0).
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Almeria seems to be in a decent momentum, as the side comes from two straight victories in front of own fans, last time out winning over Tenerife narrowly with a 2:1 result on Sunday evening. However, must be said that it was more balanced game than what the final result shows and not only that, players from Tenerife probably did deserved more than their winners out of the clash.
They have scored an early goal, in eleventh minute via Motta, while the visitors continued with pressing and having much more of the ball possession, but the hosts surprised them again in 69th minute with a goal from Munoz, while Tenerife only managed to reduce the deficit in 72nd minute via Juan Carlos, not being able to completely get back into the match. The side has now rised above the relegation zone, having two points more than relegating placed Barcelona B, but inspite of their good form, they will surely be very pleased with a point here having in mind their poor form on the road (only five points taken out of eight matches).
Guests are missing defenders Owona (13/0), Estupinan (8/0), Fran Rodriguez (14/2), but also midfielders Costa (7/2) and Verza (8/2) and forwards Hicham (10/0) and Caballero (13/1).
Granada has scored at least two goals in five out of last six home matches.
Granada is obviously a different side in front of own fans, on a positive side, they are a better side that plays with much more confidence. Knowing that there is no doubt that the team will be going for all three points and I can definitely see them taking all three, since they will be playing against fairly said, unimpressive side so far - especially on the road, that has anyway over performed a bit lately.
Bet: Granada Wins @ 1.73 with Pinnacle

Zlin vs Lokomotiv Moscow

Zlin comes into this one from a point taken away from home last Saturday afternoon in a 1:1 draw against Brno. Even though they looked like having decent chances prior the game, they should be satisfied with a point taken since they were back in the scoreline since 32nd minute when Zikl brought the hosts into the lead, while the visiting side stood with a man less since 69th minute when their defender Ondrej Baco got red carded.
Even though they played with a man less, players of Zlin risked more and were threatening in last phase of the game, completely deserving the point taken thanks to a goal from Mehanovic in 84th minute. The side now stands at ninth position in 1 Czech Liga, being already ten points below Europa League and fourth placed Liberec. As for this competition, they are locked at fourth position with two points so far, without any chance to reach the knockout phase nor the third position.
Their domestic season has ended for now, so there are no special reasons to change the squad much. Home team should miss forward Jean-David Beauguel (4/0) who is injured for a month already.
It seems that Lokomotiv Moscow have entered really good form at the moment, since the team comes from their fourth consecutive victory, three in Premier League of Russia and a win over Copenhagen 2:1 in previous round of Europa League group stage that now makes their chances of progressing further much bigger.
In the previous round of Premier League, the side won at home over Rubin Kazan last Saturday afternoon with narrow 1:0 result thanks to a goal from Farfan in 87th minute. Overall impression is that it was a very difficult victory in a very defensive game, but that's how most of the matches of Lokomotiv look like. As for their domestic league, the side now leads the table having six points more than Zenit and surely wanting to remain in commanding lead for as much as possible.
The side plays away to Tosno next Monday, so there's no plenty of reason to rotate in such important European game. Goalkeeper Guilherme (15/0) remains sidelined with a thigh injury, while doubtful remain defender Vedran Corluka (no performance this season anyway) coming from a long term injury and forward Ari (2/1).
I doubt that in-form Russians will calculate something here and waiting to hear the result of the second match in this group. They have form on their side, but also individual quality and against opponents that have no competitive motive in this one, should be able to record a victory that grants them progress to the knockout phase.
Bet: Lokomotiv Moscow Wins @ 1.70 with Bet365

Leipzig vs Besiktas

Leipzig suffered quite humiliating defeat last time out, as the team comes from a 4:0 defeat away to Hoffenheim last weekend, in something that was far away from ideal preparation for this one. However, must be said that the match was much more balanced than what the final result was saying, but the goals scored were the things that were counted, as always.
Players of Leipzig had much more of the ball possession, even chances created were quite similar in numbers, but the hosts had much better and concrete chances overall. They took the lead in 13th minute via Amiri, leaving the ball possession to the visitors and being threatening via counter attacks scoring three more in the second halftime - via Gnabry in 52nd and 62nd minute and Uth in 87th minute. It was first loss after three Bundesliga matches for Leipzig, as the side now stands at second position having six points less than Bayern Munich and just a point more than third placed Schalke.
Home team should be playing in some version of 4-2-2-2 formation with Wagner and Poulsen as forwards. Forward Marcel Sabitzer (11/2) is injured, same as central back Dayotchanculle Upamecano (12/0) and offensive midfielder Eil Forsberg (12/1). central back Willi Orban is doubtful for this match, but with chances to recover on time.
Besiktas, on the other side, comes from a really important three pointer taken in a local derby game against Galatasaray in front of own fans with a 3:0 result. They were better during the whole match, no doubt about it, but the things got more concrete in the second halftime only, when the game looked as quite an open one from both ends.
Hosts took the lead in 46th minute via Tosun, a goal opener that made the game to be much more open and attacking from both sides, as the players of Besiktas looked better under such circumstances and managed to seal the victory with two goals in last twenty minutes, via Tosic in 70th and Negredo in first minute of additional time. Besiktas now hold the fourth position being just four points below first placed Basaksehir and now getting back into the title race together with biggest rivals.
Guests are set to play in 4-2-3-1 formation with Negredo as central striker, plus Lens, Talisca and Tosun as offensive midfielders. They have already secured the top spot and will surely rotate in this one, since important players such as defensive midfielder Atiba Hutchinson (12/1), forward Ryan Babel (13/4), central back Pepe (12/1), offensive Ricardo Quaresma (13/1) and midfielder Tolgay Arslan (14/0) have not traveled with the team at all.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in RasenBallsport Leipzig's last 3 games in Champions League.
Even though Leipzig will miss couple of really important players for this one, I still see the German side as strong favorites here against a side that has nothing to play for and is coming with bigger number of absent key players. Hosts will be aiming for a bigger margin victory here in order to do better than Porto and secure that second position and I'm confident that they will be really close, at least from the aspect of their own game.
Bet: Leipzig -1.5 Asian handicap @ 2.02 with Bet365

Olympiakos vs Juventus

Before the last tour in Group D intrigue in the struggle for the second ticket to the next stage of the Champions League (the first staked out Barcelona) remains intact. Tonight in a distance fight for second place will play Sporting Lisabon and Juventus.However, the chances of the teams are far from equal. Firstly, the Sporting are one point behind the "old lady". Secondly, the Portuguese in the last round will have to visit the Camp Nou, where their success is absolutely unbelievable.Juventus surely has more chance to proceed to 1/8 finals of Champions League and for Sporting will remain the consolation prize to play in the Europa League. Juventus goes to the last fight against Olympiakos, determined to get a victory and thus prove that it deserves to be among the participants in the 1/8 finals. Olympiakos does not pretend to anything, but they showed that can defend at home (0:0 against Barcelona). The Greeks are predicted to take the last place, having grown up in the previous five games with just one point.The home team is approaching the match without the disqualified Diogo Figueiras. Also, the coach of the hosts Takis Lemonis will not be able to count on the injured Emmanuel EmenikeAnd the guests will not be with the strongest squad, and this is not the whim of Massimiliano Allegri, but a forced measure. At the pre-match press conference, the coach of Juventus reported that he was unsure about participating in the match Pjanic and Buffon. There were also doubts about the participation in the match of Mario Mandzhukich and Gonzalo Higuain. But, according to Allegri, both players are ready for the fight. But I can't tell why Giorgio Chiellini and Benedict Hades did not travel to Greece..Well the Greeks will try to park the bus and probably the guests will have to take their needed points the hard way. I am expecting a low scoring game and goals only for Juventus. [pin]
Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.85

Is sports betting hard? Is it easy? Well, actually it's both! Let us explain... It's easy to learn the basics and get started, and it's even easy to make a little money every now and then, without a great deal of background knowledge. Having fun is also something that requires little to no effort. However, it's hard to consistently make money from betting. There are all kinds of different sports betting strategies you can use to improve your chances, but there's no easy route to success.
Whatever you do, don't let this discourage you! That was not our intention. If we didn't think it was possible to beat the bookmakers with any degree of regularity, then we wouldn't have spent the time and effort we have in putting together our sports betting guide. The whole purpose of this guide is to give you all the information and advice you need to be able to make money. Success might not come easy, but we would never write it off as being impossible either.
With the right approach, and the necessary knowledge and skills, becoming a successful bettor is possible. In this section of our sports betting guide we'll give you the knowledge you need, and teach you the skills required. It's a truly invaluable resource, featuring sports betting strategy advice from experts who know exactly what it takes to be a successful bettor. Please read through the page to find out everything it has to offer.
The Fundamentals of Sports Betting Success
Before you even begin to think about the all the strategy involved in sports betting, there are a few other things you need to do and know. So we're going to start this page with a few tips that you should really try to follow. This advice is crucial, no matter what your goals are when it comes to sports betting. If you're already an experienced bettor then you may want to skip this part, although we suggest that you don't. Even if you're already aware of everything we're about to tell you, it will do you no harm to be reminded of it all.
Please note that all the information and advice that follows is covered in more detail in two other sections of our sports betting guide. If you want learn more about anything we discuss here, please check them out. They cover a number of other aspects of sports betting too.
Beginners Guide to Sports Betting Sports Betting Essentials
Choose a good sports betting site
The easiest way to bet these days is online, and there are several advantages in doing so. It's very important, though, to pick a good sports betting site to use. There are plenty of sites to choose from, but they're not all of the same standard. Using one of the best will give you a much better all-round experience, and ensure that you get the most from betting online.
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Learn the different ways to bet on sports
There are several different ways to bet on sports. For example, you can now bet on events while they are actually taking place in addition to before they start. This opens up a whole new range of betting opportunities, as does using betting exchanges instead of bookmakers. There are also several different types of wager too. You should spend some time familiarizing yourself with the all the ways to bet, and learning all the wagers you can place, as this will increase your chances of finding profitable spots to put your money down
Pick the right sports to bet on
When we say pick the right sports, we're not necessarily suggesting that certain sports are better than others. The focus here is YOU! What sports are right for you? Generally speaking, these will be the sports that you know and understand the best. We believe it's better to focus on a small number of sports, but this is only our opinion and there's no reason why you can't make money from a wide variety of different sports.
Manage your money well
One of the biggest and most costly mistakes that bookmakers make is choosing to not have a proper bankroll management plan in place. Don't make this mistake yourself. If you can't properly manage a bankroll, and stick to some rules about how much to stake and when, then you have very little chance of success in the long run. More people have gone bust through poor bankroll management than through poor betting skills.
Keep your emotions in check
There's NO room for emotion when it comes to sports betting. Not if you're serious about being successful anyway. You have to make rational decisions based on sound reasoning, and that means using your head: not your heart. There will be times when your emotions threaten to get the better of you, but you have to be able to control them and remain disciplined. Emotional decisions are almost always bad decisions in the context of betting.
The Importance of Value
If we could teach you only one thing about sports betting, it would be the importance of value. Nothing is more fundamental to success in this field, as the only way to make consistent profits is to consistently find value in the betting markets. Of course, this is easier said than done.
Finding value on a regular basis is anything but easy. It actually requires you to be better than the bookmakers at assessing the probability of potential outcomes of sports events. Bookmakers are professors that are not only very good at what they do, they also have the inherent advantage of being able to set the odds and build their commissions into those odds.
You CAN overcome the bookmakers' advantage though. You just need to give yourself the best possible of chance of identifying value as and when it's available. Being able to spot value is a vital skill, and in the following article we'll try to help you master it.
Our sports betting guide features two other articles that can help you better understand value, so please consider reading them. In our beginners' section, we have an article that serves as a basic introduction to probability and value. In our essentials section we have an article that explains all about the basics of handicapping the market, which is a skill that you need to learn if you want the best chance of finding value.
Probability and the Concept of Value
Basics of Handicapping the Market
There are a couple of other articles that we recommend reading before moving on to the more specific strategy advice that we offer. The first is a complete introduction to sports betting strategy. This is a vital read if you're new to this subject. It broadly explains what strategy is in the context of sports betting, and details all the ways it can help you if applied properly.
The second article is all about research and analysis. Virtually all sports betting strategies require at least some degree of research and analysis, so it's important to learn how to study effectively. This article explores what you need study, where you can find the relevant information, and how you should interpret that information.
Basic Strategy for Basic Bet Types
An important part of sports betting strategy is knowing the best ways to use the basic bet types effectively. In the following articles we explain exactly how to do this. The advice in these articles is very straightforward and easy to understand, so they are great for relatively inexperienced bettors who are looking for simple ways to improve their skills. Those with more experience might like to take a look too, even if just to refresh their memory on a few things.
Basic Strategy for Betting Point Spreads
Point spreads are one of the most popular types of wager in the United States, and the most commonly used for football and basketball. In this article we offer a few tips for betting point spreads, and also explain some simple strategies along the way.
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Basic Strategy for Betting Totals
Totals are very popular wagers in the US. They are widely used all around the world as well:often being referred to as over/under bets. This article details some methods you can use for pricing up totals to find value, explains the importance of understanding key numbersand features some other useful tips too.
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Basic Strategy for Betting Moneylines
US bettors typically see moneylines as a secondary alternative for betting on football and basketball, after the point spread. They are commonly used on hockey and baseball though, and several other sports too. This is also a popular wager type in other parts of the world, although it's more commonly referred to as simply a win bet. Whatever name you know it by, you learn how to use it effectively in this article.
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Basic Strategy for Betting Parlays
Parlays, also known as accumulators, should be used sparingly. They're hard to win, as they require getting multiple selections right. Recreational bettors are often attracted to them purely because of the potential for high payouts, but many serious gamblers choose to avoid them entirely. There are some effective ways to use them though, as we explain in this article.
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Other Basic Betting Strategies
There are a few basic strategies that are easy to learn, and can be applied to a wide variety of different sports. These are among the first strategies you should learn about. You may not choose to use all of them, or any of them for that matter, but each one of them can be very useful in certain sets of circumstances. We'd certainly recommend having them in your locker, and using them when the time is right.
Arbitrage Betting
Arbitrage betting can only be used in specific spots, and those spots don't present themselves very often. When they do, though, they're essentially a bettor's dream, as with arbitrage betting it is possible to make guaranteed profits irrespective of what the outcome of event is. Sound too good to be true? It isn't. Read this article to find out more.
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Hedging is about protecting existing wagers against potential losses by placing additional wagers on alternative outcomes. There are several situations in which this the right thing to do. This strategy is often used in the wrong way, or for the wrong reasons, but it can be very powerful if used correctly. This explains how and why.
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Using the Kelly Criterion

It could be argued that the Kelly Criterion is not a strategy at all, as it's really just a type of staking plan. Seeing as it can help to achieve one of the goals that most strategies aim for, specifically maximizing potential returns, we figure it makes sense to class it as a strategy. Either way, it's a useful tool if understood and applied properly.
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Fading the Public & Chasing Steam
Fading the public and chasing steam are two separate betting strategies, but we've covered them both in a single article as they are both built around placing your bets based on what other people are doing. Fading the public involves going against popular public opinion, while chasing steam involves trying to follow what professional gamblers are betting on instead.
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Sports Specific Betting Strategies
There's a lot of general sports strategy that can really help you as a bettor. The information and advice provided so far on this page will almost certainly improve your chances of making money from betting. However, a lot of the really detailed strategies you can use are based on specific sports. And, you'll pleased to know, we can help you on this front too.
We are currently in the process of compiling comprehensive betting guides on a wide variety of sports. We're not just covering the major ones, and our ultimate goal is to provide detailed information and strategy relating to every single sport you can bet on. At this moment, only two of these sports guides are completed. These are for football and soccer. There are several others being worked on at the moment though, and these will be added to the site soon.
Football Betting Guide
Our football betting guide covers EVERYTHING you could ever want to know about betting on football, and also the sport itself. There's useful information for beginners, and a great deal of strategy advice. The following are just some of the topics covered.
About the NFL
About College Football
How to Bet on Football
Simple Football Betting Systems
Football Handicapping

NFL Teasers
College Teasers
Betting Football Props
Buying Half Points
Using the Off Season Effectively
Betting Season Win Totals
Live & Half-Time Betting
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Soccer Betting Guide
If you enjoy betting on soccer, or want to start, then this is the guide for you. Soccer's the most popular sport in the world, and presents a massive range of betting opportunities. We teach you how to take full advantage of these opportunities, while increasing your chances of making money at the same time.
History of Soccer
Major Clubs
Major Tournaments & Leagues
Types of Soccer Bets
Soccer Betting Mistakes
Factors Affecting Soccer Matches
Strategy for Soccer Accumulators
Backing Big Favorites
Backing Both Teams To Score
Betting on Total Goals
Soccer Betting Guide Soccer Betting Strategy